Weather

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Admin
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Re: Weather

Post by Admin »

Yeah, that's almost a given.

Gotta try to keep Kiwis at home one way or the other!
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Admin
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Re: Weather

Post by Admin »

Holy fuck!

I said we might see a new record, but this is insane: https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-65339934

Arth - better get your people raking those forests asap.
stanky
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Re: Weather

Post by stanky »

That's some dire stuff there. Interesting about the role of aerosols, and the negative effects of regulations that minimize them.
Di would have a laugh at this. Disaster porn at its finest.
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arthwollipot
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Re: Weather

Post by arthwollipot »

How a potential 'extreme' El Niño weather pattern would affect Australia
The prospect of an El Niño weather pattern is looking increasingly likely as waters off South America's west coast warm, with some models even tipping conditions for an "extreme" event to occur.

It's a worrying prospect for many farmers in Australia's eastern states who rely heavily on winter rainfall for their grain and pastures to grow.

"It's suddenly turned brown and all of a sudden things in the garden are dying and trees are dying and there is hardly a hint of green," Bunnan cattle farmer Paula Stevenson said.

"There is a slight buffer [from La Niña] and the aquifers have been recharged, but it's just a matter of whether you can access it."

El Niño events have a reputation for bringing warmer, drier weather to Australia.

Nine out of 10 of the driest winter-spring periods on record for eastern Australia occurred during El Niño years, although it does not guarantee it.

It is part of a natural cycle known as the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and is one of Australia's key climate drivers.

But Bureau of Meteorology climatologist Greg Browning said there was still a long way to go before an El Niño became certain.
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Admin
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Re: Weather

Post by Admin »

Strong dry winter signals on both sides of the country.

This could turn really ugly.
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arthwollipot
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Re: Weather

Post by arthwollipot »

It's definitely turning wintry here now.

Cold front delivers snow, hail to large parts of Australia with more cold weather to come

You could be forgiven for thinking that it had snowed yesterday. Actually small hail was gathered in drifts that looked like snow. There was actual snow up in the ranges.
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Re: Weather

Post by Admin »

Yeah, it's due here Wednesday, which will actually be a relief.

We've been stuck in a tropical atmospheric river for a week and it's been humid and lots of rain again.
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Re: Weather

Post by Admin »

That's a fucking outrage - the kids should never have been there. Unbelievably, it's the second time a group of schoolkids on an outdoor education course have been caught in a flash flood. Last time was much worse, with 7 dead.

The rain had been well forecast and heavy rain warnings were in place for that exact area, which is so well known as a flood danger it's listed on the city council website!

Welcome to New Zealand, where nobody is ever made to take responsibility for killing kids.

And if you think that sounds unreasonable, check out the insanity of Cave Creek, which killed 14 kids: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cave_Creek_disaster

As the Commission of Inquiry found:
Nails were used to secure the platform instead of bolts (as intended by the design), because an appropriate drill had not been taken to the building site.
_____________________

On a wider note, it's the third severe flooding event in three months, but it looks like no other deaths have resulted from it.
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arthwollipot
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Re: Weather

Post by arthwollipot »

Canberra is known for quite a few things - politicians, roundabouts, stultifying boredness (though I dispute that), but one thing that I don't think Canberra gets enough credit for is fog.

As I like to say, Canberra gets cold in winter, but not as cold as it gets in really cold places, and we do not routinely get snow. But the thing that we do get in the winter is thick fog. I took the garbage out this morning and there was visible fog between my front door and the bin.

Tips for driving in fog: put your lights on, but not high beams. High beams get reflected by the suspended water droplets and end up dazzling you. If your car is equipped with fog lights, use them. And for the love of all things scientific, do not tailgate! Visibility is reduced and you need extra space to react to things that suddenly loom. And because of all the dampness, the roads are likely to be slightly slipperier than normal.

Personally, I love the fog. But I love everything about Canberra, so maybe I'm just a bit weird.

No, scratch that. I'm definitely a bit weird.
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